Daily Kos

Tag: Mary Landrieu

Voter Registration Trends: Louisiana

Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 05:48:23 PM PDT

A series on trends in voter registration

In early August, the New York Times revealed that since 2005, there has been a major shift in party registration, with the Republicans losing ground to Democrats and to unaffiliated voters. But what caused these shifts? How large have they been in key (and not so key) states? Have there been any demographic shifts? How will they help (or hinder) the Democratic party's chances at victory this November?

The answer can be found below.

Louisiana is one of the 3 states (along with Florida and North Carolina) which both registers voters by party and collects racial data as part of compliance with Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act.

While the combination of Hurricane Katrina and the still-existing legacy of Democratic dominance of the state make it tough to read too much into these numbers, we can still glean something from them.

Big Business Goes After Unions to Defeat Democrats

Sun Aug 24, 2008 at 06:00:19 AM PDT

As we all know, this November brings major opportunities for Senate pick-ups. And if we get enough Democrats in the Senate, there's a lot of legislation we might be able to get passed that seemed like pipe dreams just two years ago. That's precisely one of the reasons some business groups will be fighting tooth and nail to prevent Democrats from picking up Senate seats.

The Employee Free Choice Act is one of the most important such bills -- and practically every competitive Senate race is being targeted by anti-union groups with millions of dollars in funding from undisclosed sources:

The two groups, which will not disclose the sources of money behind their campaigns, may spend as much as a combined $50 million by November. The extent of the media effort has sent Democrats scrambling for ways to respond to what they call misleading advertisements without getting thrown off their own message. Party leaders are also sharply critical of the secrecy behind the spending.

"The fact that these expenditures are not only so large but are undisclosed is extremely troubling," said Senator Charles E. Schumer of New York, chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, who said the groups "are trying to influence the elections with millions of dollars that the public can’t trace."

These groups (which I've previously written about here) have already gone on the air with millions of dollars in ads against candidates whose names will be familiar to you: Jeanne Shaheen, Tom Allen, Al Franken, Mary Landrieu, Jeff Merkley, Mark Udall, Bruce Lunsford, Ronnie Musgrove.

In fact, to prevent this bill, Wal-Mart has already engaged in the kind of abuses that it is designed to prevent. At the beginning of the month, the Wall Street Journal reported that:

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. is mobilizing its store managers and department supervisors around the country to warn that if Democrats win power in November, they'll likely change federal law to make it easier for workers to unionize companies -- including Wal-Mart.

In recent weeks, thousands of Wal-Mart store managers and department heads have been summoned to mandatory meetings at which the retailer stresses the downside for workers if stores were to be unionized.
--snip--
The Wal-Mart human-resources managers who run the meetings don't specifically tell attendees how to vote in November's election, but make it clear that voting for Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Barack Obama would be tantamount to inviting unions in, according to Wal-Mart employees who attended gatherings in Maryland, Missouri and other states.

"The meeting leader said, 'I am not telling you how to vote, but if the Democrats win, this bill will pass and you won't have a vote on whether you want a union,'" said a Wal-Mart customer-service supervisor from Missouri. "I am not a stupid person. They were telling me how to vote," she said.

The AFL-CIO, Change to Win, American Rights at Work, and WakeUpWalMart subsequently filed an FEC complaint arguing that Wal-Mart's actions constituted illegal electioneering. But whatever the ruling from the FEC, there's no question that by going this close to the line of legality, Wal-Mart showed just how terrified they are of the Employee Free Choice Act.

So what's the fuss about? The main components of the Employee Free Choice Act include requiring certification of a union once a majority of employees in a workplace have signed up for the union. As laws are currently enforced, after a majority of employees have requested a union, employers can force an election.  This may sound democratic enough, but in fact it allows employers to use their power over workers to campaign against the union, often harassing and firing union supporters in the process. As labor scholar Gordon Lafer writes:

For an election to be "free and fair," both sides must have equal access to media and the voters. But not under labor law. Anti-union managers are free to campaign to every employee, every day, throughout the day; but pro-union employees can campaign only on break time.  Furthermore, management can post anti-union propaganda on bulletin boards and walls — while prohibiting pro-union employees from doing the same.  By law, employers can force workers to attend mass anti-union propaganda events.  Not only are pro-union employees not given equal time, but they can be forced to attend on condition that they not ask any questions.  Recent data show that workers are forced to attend between five and 10 such one-sided meetings. If, during the 2004 presidential campaign, the Democrats could have forced every voter in America to watch Fahrenheit 9/11 (or if the Republicans could have forced everyone to watch the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth video), with no opportunity for response from the other side, none of us would have called this "democracy."

To put this in further context, under the system we have now 30% of employers illegally fire workers during union organization drives; 23% of workers in majority sign-up elections, the kind the EFCA would allow, "report management coercion to oppose the union"; and 46% report similar coercion in what Wal-Mart and their allies would like you to call "secret ballot" elections.

The bill also prevents employers from dragging out negotiations on a first union contract by creating provisions for mediation and arbitration, and strengthens penalties on employers who fire union supporters. Such firings are illegal, but the current penalties are too small to serve as effective deterrents -- if a fired worker wins their complaint to the National Labor Relations Board, a process that may take years, they are awarded the difference between what they ultimately earned in that time period and what they would have earned had they not been fired. That means that someone who is illegally fired and goes out and gets an equivalent job may get almost no money. There is therefore very little disincentive for employers to illegally fire union-supporting workers.

That the Employee Free Choice Act will afford workers greater freedom to join unions would doubtless be reason enough for Wal-Mart and other anti-worker corporations to oppose it. And it should be reason enough for us to support it. But if, despite being a Daily Kos reader, you're not a big fan of unions (and if that's the case, shame on you), I'll refer you to Trapper John's appeal to your baser interests:

I'm writing today for those breeds of Democrats who -- for whatever reason -- just don't care that much, or at least that passionately, about labor.  I'm writing for folks like Ben Nelson and Blanche Lincoln -- two good Democratic senators who have yet to commit to voting for EFCA.  I don't want to appeal to your better angels and try to convince you that EFCA is a civil rights bill, or that its passage is a moral imperative. No -- my message is simple, and is an appeal to your baser instincts: Passing EFCA will get more Democrats elected.

That's right.  Put aside, for the moment, the many, many reasons that passing EFCA makes sense from a policy perspective.  EFCA is a political winner for Democrats.  Why?  Because EFCA will increase the number of union members in the US -- and union members (and, for that matter, non-members living in union households) are more likely to vote Democratic than non-members.

We have no way of knowing whether the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the Retail Industry Leaders Association, the "Employee Freedom Action Committee," and other corporatists are more opposed to Democrats because they would pass the Employee Free Choice Act, producing more union members, or are more opposed to the Employee Free Choice Act because it would produce more Democrats. Whichever it is, we have to be prepared to counter their tens of millions of dollars of advertising and their employee intimidation aimed at defeating Democrats this November.

LA-Sen: Is that Ensign I hear weeping?

Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 03:26:19 PM PDT

Rasmussen. 8/14. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (7/9 results)

Landrieu (D) 53 (49)
Kennedy (R) 37 (44)

Landrieu has been up on the air the last several weeks, pounding the crap out of Kennedy, and the results are pretty obvious. Remember, this is the GOP's only chance to pick up a Senate seat this year. And their one and only chance is currently a 16-point deficit. Yup, it's one of those years for those guys.

I mean, this is where this race ranks, per Rasmussen's latest polling:

State Incumbent   Margin over challenger

 NM    Open (R)      -26
 VA    Open (R)      -21
 AK    Stevens (R)   -13
 CO    Open (R)       -8
 NH    Sununu (R)     -6
 GA    Chambliss (R)  +6
 OR    Smith (R)      +6
 MN    Coleman (R)    +7
 MS    Wicker (R)     +9
 KY    McConnell (R) +10
 NC    Dole (R)      +11
 TX    Cornyn (R)    +11
 ME    Collins (R)   +15
 LA    Landrieu (D)  +16

Rasmussen hasn't polled the Idaho or Oklahoma Senate races, or we probably would've seen both those states tighter than Louisiana. But per Rasmussen polling alone, there are 13 Senate races tighter than the Louisiana one. (South Dakota, their other supposed target, puts Republicans at a 25-point disadvantage against Democratic incumbent Tim Johnson.)

Louisiana and Mississippi Democrats in the Senate--Think Positive

Fri Aug 08, 2008 at 11:32:51 PM PDT

The purpose of this diary is to 1) dissuade the notion that Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) is in danger this cycle and 2) to make the case that Erik Fleming in MS-A is a viable candidate against Thad Cochrane.

Lousiana a Senate Toss-Up?

Thu Aug 07, 2008 at 01:26:44 PM PDT

This is Eli Ackerman, of We Could Be Famous. I blog live from New Orleans, Louisiana, and have written this brief synopsis of the challenge being waged by John N. Kennedy against Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu.

Make Easy Money to Donate to Democratic candidates

Tue Aug 05, 2008 at 05:55:59 PM PDT

As with many of you, the slowing economy and high energy prices have really taken a toll on me financially.  I've donated money to Democratic candidates for various offices in the past and planned to do so this year as well.  When I looked at the finances, however, I realized that there really wasn't any extra money hanging around.   I basically had to choose between gas in my car and food for my family or donating to a political cause and it's clear which one I had to choose.  So, to earn some extra cash to be able to donate to Democratic candidates, not necessarily Barack Obama, but also the many great Senate candidates, I began looking for an easy, quick way to make some extra dollars here and there.

Bushed: More Details On FEMA's Latest Scandal

Sun Aug 03, 2008 at 06:57:49 AM PDT

BowlAfter Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Gulf Coast in August 2005 the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) purchased more than $85M worth of basic supplies for storm victims. For more than two years, until last month FEMA let the supplies sit in warehouses at a cost of $1M/year.

During that two year period local government officials and non-profit relief organizations in Louisiana and Mississippi made repeated public pleas for donations of the exact sort of items FEMA had already purchased and were even stored locally.

That these supplies people have needed for years just sat in warehouses until mid-June of this year is bad enough, but FEMA was able to find a way to make this story even more sad and depressing the way only George Bush's administration can.

Brief History of a Talking Point

Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 06:48:34 AM PDT

About a week and a half ago, I got a call from a pollster at the house.  It was a fairly obvious push-poll from the Kennedy campaign, with the novel feature that it had some reverse-push questions about Kennedy ("John Kennedy used to be a Democrat but switched parties after being persuaded by Karl Rove.  Does this make you more or less likely to vote for him?"), presumably to judge the depth of his vulnerabilities.

One repeated push against Landrieu was that she isn't utterly beholden to energy interests on every single vote.  Three questions referenced her vote against "mining for energy in the West," asking if that vote would make me more or less likely, etc.

Well, the poll results are in.

It's Howard Time! (A Photoblog)

Fri Jul 18, 2008 at 09:00:59 PM PDT


Howard Dean's "Register for Change" bus tour hit New Orleans at noon today (sadly for the chairman, sans air conditioning on the bus) and You Are There!

GF and I showed up about 11:45 and waited with the growing crowd at the Victory '08 HQ for the bus to arrive.

Landrieu kicks off!

Thu Jul 17, 2008 at 11:23:30 AM PDT

Unlike Kennedy's mediocre kickoff party, Landrieu has really put the campaign into high gear. She has been through more than one hundred small towns across Louisiana since the year began, and recently began a big campaign swing through Baton Rouge, Lafayette, Monroe, Shreveport, Alexandria, Lake Charles and New Orleans; every major metropolitan area in the state.

She's beating Kennedy to the airwaves, with her first ad about to go up, and available for viewing on her website, http://www.marylandrieu.com . She also pulled out the endorsements of 68 mayors yesterday.

Poll

Will Mary Landrieu win reelection?

61%38 votes
4%3 votes
6%4 votes
12%8 votes
3%2 votes
8%5 votes
1%1 votes
1%1 votes
0%0 votes

| 62 votes | Vote | Results

Political Geography for Kossacks: Crimea River

Wed Jul 02, 2008 at 04:59:34 AM PDT

Yeah, I'm always a day late on these things, and god knows I'm no Granny Doc, but here goes.

From the front page to the lowliest diary comments, it is impossible not to encounter somebody's grave, disheartened disappointment at something the Democratic nominee did or didn't do in his quest to gain office.

You're shocked.  You're hurt.  You're going to take your $25 and go home.  You're going to give up on the big ticket and concentrate on state races.

Enjoy.  I don't have the option.  My state sucks.

A Map With 50 blue states sure would be easy to color

Mon Jun 23, 2008 at 12:05:38 AM PDT

I was half way through writing a diary on key/close down-ticket races-- and how helping knock off some unpopular Republican governors can actually help Obam upticket--when I came across this happy fact:

Charlie Cook and the folks at the Cook Political Report have changed their ratings on 10 different House races. A Republican is the incumbent in all of them. Guess which direction they're heading:

CA-04 — OPEN (Doolittle) — Solid Republican to Likely Republican
CO-04 — Marilyn Musgrave — Lean Republican to Toss Up
CT-04 — Chris Shays — Lean Republican to Toss Up
IL-10 — Mark Kirk — Lean Republican to Toss Up
NM-02 — OPEN (Pearce) — Likely Republican to Lean Republican
NY-29 — Randy Kuhl — Lean Republican to Toss Up
NC-08 — Robin Hayes — Lean Republican to Toss Up
OH-01 — Steve Chabot — Lean Republican to Toss Up
VA-02 — Thelma Drake — Likely Republican to Lean Republican
WA-08 — Dave Reichert — Lean Republican to Toss Up

well they say hope for a landside, prepare for a squeaker.   more...

62 Senate Dems in 2009 - dare to dream

Fri Jun 13, 2008 at 09:12:41 AM PDT

I know, I know...it's not likely, but a brother can dream can't he?

Following up on my post from yesterday and incorporating some of the suggestions/corrections from the comments made there, let's take a look at our best case scenario in the November Senate elections.

Right now, we're at 49 Ds, 49 Rs and 2 I's.  When the smoke clears on election night in November we'll be at 62 Ds, 37 Rs and 1 I.
Here's how it's going to happen....

Poll

How many seats will the Dems pick up in November?

9%23 votes
24%56 votes
56%131 votes
6%16 votes
2%5 votes
0%2 votes

| 233 votes | Vote | Results

Mary Landrieu

Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 09:30:15 AM PDT

I hope all within the online blogging and dailykos community have come through for Mary Landrieu's reelection effort in 2008. Democrats in Louisiana have been struggling in recent years but Mary still has what it takes to come through in the general election. Also, there are recent house seats that could come into play and Democrats are bound to take at least one of those. Please contribute to Mary's campaign as well as the Louisiana Democratic Party so that we can keep Mary in the Senate and rebuild the Democratic party in Louisiana.

P.S. George W. Bush has already came to Louisiana to fundraise for state treasurer John N. Kennedy another "Democrat" turncoat oppurtunist. Help raise money for Mary so that we don't have to put up with another GOP lap dog in the Senate

Demand The Truth About NOLA's Levees....

Mon Mar 31, 2008 at 07:39:25 AM PDT

as well as just, fair compensation for federal flood survivors who lost family members in the manmade disaster of New Orleans' levee breaches.

With the start of hurricane season a little over a month away, New Orleans' storm preparation and flood protection deserves a close look. These things are far more important than Wrightgate or Bosniagate. Because unlike these tempests in teapots, human lives depend on the safety and strength of New Orleans' levees.

V[eep] for Victory: Infrastructure and Rural Poverty FTW!

Mon Feb 25, 2008 at 08:11:08 PM PDT

Talking about Obama's choices for veep, there's an overwhelming sense in some quarters that he needs to pick a guy with massive military/foreign policy credentials.  Wes Clark or some other four-star primadonna.  I don't buy that at all.  If Barack can't win the Iraq debate on his own, he can't win it.  Picking a security guy just puts the debate on McCain's turf.

A veep choice should let Obama go where McCain can't and won't go.  We all know John McCain doesn't give a flying frick about domestic issues.  The veep choice should put Katrina, infrastructure and rural poverty - issues which McCain won't know whether to sh!t or go blind on - at the forefront.  The veep should sweep through the boxed-out area of this map, which happen to be hit hard by poverty and crumbling infrastructure and also key swing areas.

 title=

Poll

What are winning veep issues?

52%29 votes
36%20 votes
10%6 votes

| 55 votes | Vote | Results

More dead flowers: From Florida to New York--With Love, Big Insurance

Wed Feb 20, 2008 at 06:25:12 AM PDT

Last week was a banner one for homeowners all over the country. Nope, I’m not talking about the mortgage crisis which is bad enough. I’m talking about the other financial crisis that has yet to catch national attention: homeowner’s insurance policies with prices skyrocketing out of control . . . or being canceled.

Yet, property & casualty insurance costs for home and business owners have skyrocketed out of control hitting lower and middle income families with a powerful financial punch to their pocketbook whether they live inside Katrina Land or out.

In a post-Valentine’s Day gift to its homeowner customers, State Farm delivered dead flowers to its customers in Florida and New York. Yes, you read that correctly: New York. As in Long Island, New York.

<div style="text-align: left;">Florida: State Farm Dumps Coastal Homeowners  

New York: State Farm defends decision to terminate LI homeowner policies  

(Updated) LA-Sen:  Doh!  Repub candidate sends supporters to Dem opponent

Sat Feb 02, 2008 at 11:27:32 AM PDT

Well, this will certainly help convince Louisiana voters to support lifetime-Democrat-recently-turned-Republican John Kennedy in his campaign to unseat our state’s Democratic senior Senator, Mary Landrieu – NOT!

Details on the flip:


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